Reading vs Notts County

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Reading favourites at 63% (Notts County 18%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.00 to 0.92, 4 wins in Reading's last 10 matches to 1 for Notts County and 4 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 62%. Reading won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 9 Feb 2002, when Reading won 2-1.
• 5 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.