QPR vs Middlesbrough

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made QPR favourites at 49% (Middlesbrough 29%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.62 to 1.17 and 8 wins in QPR's last 10 matches to 4 for Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough lead the head-to-head 6-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 60%. Middlesbrough won 1-0, against the model's 49% for QPR.

Key facts before the match

• QPR are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 8 Mar 2026, when Middlesbrough won 4-0.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.