Qarabag vs Shamakhi

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Qarabag favourites at 55% (Shamakhi 23%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.65 to 0.95, 5 wins in Qarabag's last 10 matches to 3 for Shamakhi and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 42%. Qarabag won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when it finished 0-0.