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Football · Premier League · Azerbaijan

Qarabag vs Neftci Baku

Saturday, 17 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Qarabag3-3Neftci Baku
1ST HALF
1-2
2ND HALF
2-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Qarabag favourites at 44% (Neftci Baku 34%, draw 22%). That rests on 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 48%. It ended 3-3, a draw the model had put at 22%.

Key facts before the match

  • Qarabag are unbeaten in 5 matches.
  • They last met on 30 Apr 2026, when Neftci Baku won 2-1.
  • 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Azerbaijan•Premier League
W29d
W52d
D57d
W64d
W70d
L74d
W81d
W84d
W88d
L95d
7W · 1D · 2L
vs
D31d
W52d
W59d
W65d
L71d
W78d
W85d
W102d
L110d
L119d
6W · 1D · 3L
Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 18:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Qarabag3-3Neftci Baku
1ST HALF
1-2
2ND HALF
2-1
H2H: 9-0-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Qarabag at homeNeftci Baku away
55
4/54/5
0/50/5
1/51/5
2.002.00
1.400.80
5/54/5
3/53/5
2/53/5
3/53/5
2/51/5
2/52/5
0/51/5
3/53/5
3/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Qarabag: 1.54
Expected Goals
Neftci Baku: 1.32
Qarabag
44%
Draw
22%
Neftci Baku
34%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Qarabag · # = league position now
11 Oct2026
Imisli fk#8 vs Qarabag#4
0-2W
18 Sept2026
Qarabag#4 vs Safa Baku#11
1-0W
13 Sept2026
Zira#5 vs Qarabag#4
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Qarabag#4 vs Araz#12
3-2W
31 Aug2026
Sumqayit#9 vs Qarabag#4
0-1W
27 Aug2026
Qarabag#4 vs Twente#4
1-4L
20 Aug2026
Twente#4 vs Qarabag#4
0-1W
17 Aug2026
Qarabag#4 vs Shamakhi#7
3-1W
13 Aug2026
Qarabag#4 vs Dyn. Kyiv
2-0W
06 Aug2026
Dyn. Kyiv vs Qarabag#4
1-0L
Team 2 Form
Neftci Baku · # = league position now
09 Oct2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Sabah Baku
0-0D
18 Sept2026
Gabala#10 vs Neftci Baku#1
0-3W
11 Sept2026
Imisli fk#8 vs Neftci Baku#1
2-3W
05 Sept2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Safa Baku#11
4-1W
30 Aug2026
Zira#5 vs Neftci Baku#1
1-0L
23 Aug2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Araz#12
5-0W
16 Aug2026
Sumqayit#9 vs Neftci Baku#1
1-3W
30 Jul2026
Din. Minsk#3 vs Neftci Baku#1
0-1W
22 Jul2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Din. Minsk#3
2-4L
13 Jul2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Osijek#3
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
30 Apr2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
2-1•
26 Apr2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
1-5•
09 Nov2025
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
2-0•
19 Apr2025
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
3-0•
16 Feb2025
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
0-1•
01 Dec2024
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
0-3•
20 Sept2024
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
4-0•
04 May2024
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
5-0•
24 Apr2024
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
4-1•
02 Apr2024
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
0-4•

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