Football · Premier League · Azerbaijan
Qarabag vs Neftci Baku
Saturday, 17 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Qarabag3-3Neftci Baku
- 1ST HALF
- 1-2
- 2ND HALF
- 2-1
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Qarabag favourites at 44% (Neftci Baku 34%, draw 22%). That rests on 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 48%. It ended 3-3, a draw the model had put at 22%.
Key facts before the match
- Qarabag are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- They last met on 30 Apr 2026, when Neftci Baku won 2-1.
- 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Azerbaijan•Premier League

Qarabag(9)
W29d
W52d
D57d
W64d
W70d
L74d
W81d
W84d
W88d
L95d

Neftci Baku(1)
D31d
W52d
W59d
W65d
L71d
W78d
W85d
W102d
L110d
L119d
Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 18:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Qarabag3-3Neftci Baku
- 1ST HALF
- 1-2
- 2ND HALF
- 2-1
H2H: 9-0-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Qarabag at homeNeftci Baku away
55
4/54/5
0/50/5
1/51/5
2.002.00
1.400.80
5/54/5
3/53/5
2/53/5
3/53/5
2/51/5
2/52/5
0/51/5
3/53/5
3/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Qarabag: 1.54
Expected Goals
Neftci Baku: 1.32
Qarabag
44%
Draw
22%
Neftci Baku
34%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Qarabag · # = league position now
11 Oct2026
Imisli fk#8 vs Qarabag#4
0-2W
18 Sept2026
Qarabag#4 vs Safa Baku#11
1-0W
13 Sept2026
Zira#5 vs Qarabag#4
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Qarabag#4 vs Araz#12
3-2W
31 Aug2026
Sumqayit#9 vs Qarabag#4
0-1W
27 Aug2026
Qarabag#4 vs Twente#4
1-4L
20 Aug2026
Twente#4 vs Qarabag#4
0-1W
17 Aug2026
Qarabag#4 vs Shamakhi#7
3-1W
13 Aug2026
Qarabag#4 vs Dyn. Kyiv
2-0W
06 Aug2026
Dyn. Kyiv vs Qarabag#4
1-0L
Team 2 Form
Neftci Baku · # = league position now
09 Oct2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Sabah Baku
0-0D
18 Sept2026
Gabala#10 vs Neftci Baku#1
0-3W
11 Sept2026
Imisli fk#8 vs Neftci Baku#1
2-3W
05 Sept2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Safa Baku#11
4-1W
30 Aug2026
Zira#5 vs Neftci Baku#1
1-0L
23 Aug2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Araz#12
5-0W
16 Aug2026
Sumqayit#9 vs Neftci Baku#1
1-3W
30 Jul2026
Din. Minsk#3 vs Neftci Baku#1
0-1W
22 Jul2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Din. Minsk#3
2-4L
13 Jul2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Osijek#3
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
30 Apr2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
2-1•
26 Apr2026
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
1-5•
09 Nov2025
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
2-0•
19 Apr2025
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
3-0•
16 Feb2025
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
0-1•
01 Dec2024
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
0-3•
20 Sept2024
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
4-0•
04 May2024
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
5-0•
24 Apr2024
Qarabag#4 vs Neftci Baku#1
4-1•
02 Apr2024
Neftci Baku#1 vs Qarabag#4
0-4•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Qarabag
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