Pully vs Lugano

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lugano favourites at 60% (Pully 23%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.50 to 1.53 and 7 wins in Lugano's last 10 matches to 5 for Pully. It put over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 69%. Lugano won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Pully have won 3 matches in a row.