PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made PSV favourites at 78% (Sparta Rotterdam 10%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 3.08 to 1.07, 6 wins in PSV's last 10 matches to 2 for Sparta Rotterdam and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 67%. PSV won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• PSV are unbeaten in 6 matches.
• They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when PSV won 2-0.