PSV vs Groningen

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made PSV favourites at 49% (Groningen 32%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 1.69, 6 wins in PSV's last 10 matches to 4 for Groningen and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 80% and both teams scoring at 70%. PSV won 5-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Groningen have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 8 Feb 2026, when PSV won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.