Football · Ligue 1 · France
PSG vs Lyon
Monday, 26 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes PSG favourites at 61% (Lyon 21%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.35 to 1.32, 7 wins in PSG's last 10 matches to 5 for Lyon and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give PSG about 67% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams scoring at 77%.
Key facts
- PSG have won 7 matches in a row.
- Over 2.5 goals came in 9 of PSG's last 10 matches and 8 of Lyon's.
- PSG scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Lyon failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
- Both teams scored in 9 of PSG's last 10 matches and 7 of Lyon's.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Monday, 26 October 2026 at 22:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-1-2
Last 10 matches
1010
28/1417/13
2.801.70
1.401.30
10/108/10
8/105/10
9/108/10
5/104/10
1/102/10
0/102/10
9/109/10
9/108/10
9/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Psg at homeLyon away
44
3/41/4
0/41/4
1/42/4
3.500.75
1.501.50
4/42/4
3/41/4
3/40/4
4/43/4
2/42/4
0/41/4
0/42/4
4/43/4
4/42/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Psg: 2.35
Expected Goals
Lyon: 1.32
Psg
61%
Draw
18%
Lyon
21%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 77%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.9%
1 — PSG
1.40▲
Implied 67%
Edge -6.4%
X
5.30▼
Implied 18%
Edge +0.2%
2 — Lyon
6.40▼
Implied 15%
Edge +6.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Psg · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Psg#2 vs Barcelona#1
4-2W
17 Oct2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Psg#2
1-3W
14 Oct2026
Manchester City#1 vs Psg#2
2-4W
10 Oct2026
Psg#2 vs le Mans#16
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Marseille#10 vs Psg#2
1-2W
13 Sept2026
Brest#11 vs Psg#2
0-1W
09 Sept2026
Psg#2 vs Slovan Bratislava#4
6-1W
04 Sept2026
Psg#2 vs Monaco#5
1-2L
28 Aug2026
Lille#4 vs Psg#2
2-2D
23 Aug2026
Rennes#6 vs Psg#2
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Lyon · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Hoffenheim#13 vs Lyon#1
3-0L
18 Oct2026
Lyon#1 vs Nice#8
2-1W
15 Oct2026
Lyon#1 vs Crystal Palace#14
3-2W
09 Oct2026
Lens#9 vs Lyon#1
2-1L
19 Sept2026
Lyon#1 vs Rennes#6
4-0W
16 Sept2026
Anderlecht#5 vs Lyon#1
1-2W
12 Sept2026
Paris fc#3 vs Lyon#1
0-0D
04 Sept2026
Lyon#1 vs Auxerre#13
3-1W
29 Aug2026
Lyon#1 vs le Havre#18
1-1D
26 Aug2026
Lyon#1 vs Fenerbahce#3
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
19 Apr2026
Psg#2 vs Lyon#1
1-2•
09 Nov2025
Lyon#1 vs Psg#2
2-3•
23 Feb2025
Lyon#1 vs Psg#2
2-3•
15 Dec2024
Psg#2 vs Lyon#1
3-1•
25 May2024
Lyon#1 vs Psg#2
1-2•
21 Apr2024
Psg#2 vs Lyon#1
4-1•
03 Sept2023
Lyon#1 vs Psg#2
1-4•
02 Apr2023
Psg#2 vs Lyon#1
0-1•
18 Sept2022
Lyon#1 vs Psg#2
0-1•
09 Jan2022
Lyon#1 vs Psg#2
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Psg
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