Preston vs Everton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Everton favourites at 55% (Preston 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.79 to 1.08, 4 wins in Everton's last 10 matches to 1 for Preston and 5 wins from the last 5 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 45%. Everton won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Preston have gone 8 matches without a win.
• They last met on 3 Aug 2024, when Everton won 3-0.