Portsmouth vs Derby

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Derby favourites at 45% (Portsmouth 33%, draw 22%). That rests on 3 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 65%. Derby won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Derby have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 16 Mar 2026, when Derby won 1-0.