Football · Chance Liga · Czech Republic
Plzen vs FK Pardubice
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes FK Pardubice favourites at 42% (Plzen 36%, draw 22%). That rests on 6 wins in FK Pardubice's last 10 matches to 3 for Plzen. Plzen lead the head-to-head 7-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give FK Pardubice about 17% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of Plzen's last 10 matches and 7 of FK Pardubice's.
- Plzen are 9th in Chance Liga on 16 points from 11 games; FK Pardubice are 12th on 11.
- They last met on 19 Apr 2026, when FK Pardubice won 1-0.
Czech Republic•Chance Liga
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-2-1
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1521/10
1.502.10
1.501.00
8/108/10
4/106/10
7/106/10
6/103/10
3/104/10
2/102/10
9/109/10
8/107/10
6/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Plzen at homefk Pardubice away
56
1/53/6
1/51/6
3/52/6
1.401.83
1.801.00
4/54/6
2/53/6
1/51/6
4/53/6
3/52/6
1/53/6
1/52/6
4/53/6
3/52/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Plzen: 1.48
Expected Goals
fk Pardubice: 1.62
Plzen
36%
Draw
22%
fk Pardubice
42%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.4%
1 — Plzen
1.50▲
Implied 61%
Edge -25.5%
X
4.30▼
Implied 21%
Edge +0.6%
2 — FK Pardubice
5.40▼
Implied 17%
Edge +24.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Plzen · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Plzen#9 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-2L
18 Oct2026
Jablonec#7 vs Plzen#9
2-3W
15 Oct2026
Ferencvaros#4 vs Plzen#9
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Plzen#9 vs Mlada Boleslav#3
3-0W
20 Sept2026
Slavia Prague#1 vs Plzen#9
2-1L
17 Sept2026
Plzen#9 vs Royale Union sg#4
0-3L
13 Sept2026
Plzen#9 vs Sigma Olomouc#4
2-3L
09 Sept2026
Hradec Kralove#11 vs Plzen#9
0-0D
05 Sept2026
Artis Brno#14 vs Plzen#9
0-3W
30 Aug2026
Plzen#9 vs Slovacko#15
1-1D
Team 2 Form
fk Pardubice · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
fk Pardubice#12 vs Zlin#16
3-0W
11 Oct2026
Sparta Prague#5 vs fk Pardubice#12
2-0L
02 Oct2026
fk Pardubice#12 vs Zizkov
4-1W
19 Sept2026
fk Pardubice#12 vs Bohemians#10
2-1W
16 Sept2026
fk Kozlovice vs fk Pardubice#12
0-6W
13 Sept2026
Ostrava#13 vs fk Pardubice#12
1-2W
05 Sept2026
Slovacko#15 vs fk Pardubice#12
0-0D
29 Aug2026
fk Pardubice#12 vs Artis Brno#14
1-2L
26 Aug2026
Pisek vs fk Pardubice#12
0-2W
23 Aug2026
Sigma Olomouc#4 vs fk Pardubice#12
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
19 Apr2026
Plzen#9 vs fk Pardubice#12
0-1•
18 Jul2025
fk Pardubice#12 vs Plzen#9
1-5•
09 Mar2025
fk Pardubice#12 vs Plzen#9
0-0•
06 Oct2024
Plzen#9 vs fk Pardubice#12
2-0•
02 Mar2024
fk Pardubice#12 vs Plzen#9
2-3•
24 Sept2023
Plzen#9 vs fk Pardubice#12
6-2•
13 Nov2022
fk Pardubice#12 vs Plzen#9
1-1•
06 Aug2022
Plzen#9 vs fk Pardubice#12
2-1•
26 Feb2022
Plzen#9 vs fk Pardubice#12
4-0•
25 Sept2021
fk Pardubice#12 vs Plzen#9
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Plzen
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