Pisa vs Padova

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Pisa favourites at 44% (Padova 35%, draw 21%). Padova come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%. Padova won 1-0, against the model's 44% for Pisa.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 12 Aug 2012, when it finished 2-2.