Phoenix Rising vs Lexington

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lexington favourites at 59% (Phoenix Rising 24%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.52 to 1.56 and 3 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 58%. It ended 3-3, a draw the model had put at 17%.

Key facts before the match

• Lexington are unbeaten in 6 matches.
• They last met on 9 Aug 2026, when Lexington won 1-0.