Football · Super League · Indonesia
Persebaya vs Persijap Jepara
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Persebaya favourites at 85% (Persijap Jepara 2%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.14 to 0.13, Persebaya sitting 10th in the table to Persijap Jepara's 18th and 5 wins in Persebaya's last 10 matches to 1 for Persijap Jepara. Bookmakers give Persebaya about 74% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 25%.
Key facts
- Persijap Jepara have gone 9 matches without a win.
- Goals are scarce: only 2 of Persebaya's last 10 matches and 3 of Persijap Jepara's had more than 2.5.
- Persebaya have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
- Persijap Jepara failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
- They last met on 21 Feb 2026, when Persijap Jepara won 3-1.
Indonesia•Super League
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 15:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-0-2
Last 10 matches
1010
12/76/15
1.200.60
0.701.50
9/104/10
2/101/10
6/107/10
1/104/10
4/103/10
1/106/10
5/106/10
2/103/10
5/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Persebaya at homePersijap Jepara away
65
4/61/5
2/61/5
0/63/5
1.500.80
0.672.00
6/62/5
2/61/5
1/61/5
3/63/5
1/63/5
3/62/5
0/63/5
2/62/5
3/61/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Persebaya: 2.14
Expected Goals
Persijap Jepara: 0.13
Persebaya
85%
Draw
13%
Persijap Jepara
2%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 25%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.0%
1 — Persebaya
1.24
Implied 74%
Edge +11.0%
X
5.60
Implied 16%
Edge -3.4%
2 — Persijap Jepara
9.50
Implied 10%
Edge -7.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Persebaya · # = league position now
26 Oct2026
Persebaya#10 vs Madura United#4
3-1W
22 Oct2026
Psm Makassar#11 vs Persebaya#10
1-0L
18 Oct2026
Persebaya#10 vs Pss Sleman#15
2-2D
09 Oct2026
Isenmulang Kalteng#16 vs Persebaya#10
0-1W
19 Sept2026
Persebaya#10 vs Garudayaksa#14
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Persebaya#10 vs Psim Yogyakarta#17
1-0W
05 Sept2026
fc Bhayangkara#7 vs Persebaya#10
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Persebaya#10 vs Penang
1-0W
06 Aug2026
Persib Bandung#5 vs Persebaya#10
1-1D
04 Aug2026
Persebaya#10 vs Arema fc#9
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Persijap Jepara · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Java United#12
1-1D
20 Oct2026
Dewa United#2 vs Persijap Jepara#18
2-0L
16 Oct2026
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Isenmulang Kalteng#16
0-1L
10 Oct2026
Bali United#3 vs Persijap Jepara#18
6-1L
20 Sept2026
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Persib Bandung#5
1-2L
12 Sept2026
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Borneo#13
0-1L
06 Sept2026
Madura United#4 vs Persijap Jepara#18
2-0L
23 May2026
Persib Bandung#5 vs Persijap Jepara#18
0-0D
17 May2026
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Borneo#13
0-0D
10 May2026
Persita#6 vs Persijap Jepara#18
0-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
21 Feb2026
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Persebaya#10
3-1•
28 Dec2025
Persebaya#10 vs Persijap Jepara#18
4-0•
04 Jul2013
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Persebaya#10
1-0•
23 Jun2012
Persebaya#10 vs Persijap Jepara#18
2-1•
06 Feb2012
Persijap Jepara#18 vs Persebaya#10
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Persebaya
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