Football · Meistriliiga · Estonia
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Paide favourites at 64% (Parnu JK Vaprus 17%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.92 to 0.85, Paide sitting 2nd in the table to Parnu JK Vaprus's 8th, 6 wins in Paide's last 10 matches to 2 for Parnu JK Vaprus and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Paide about 56% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 46%.
Key facts
- Parnu JK Vaprus have gone 8 matches without a win.
- Parnu JK Vaprus have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- They last met on 16 Sept 2026, when Paide won 2-0.
Estonia•Meistriliiga
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-0-8
Last 10 matches
1010
13/2213/10
1.301.30
2.201.00
7/107/10
5/105/10
9/107/10
8/103/10
1/103/10
3/103/10
9/108/10
6/104/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Parnu jk Vaprus at homePaide away
54
2/53/4
3/50/4
0/51/4
1.801.50
1.400.50
5/53/4
3/52/4
1/51/4
4/52/4
3/50/4
1/52/4
0/51/4
3/51/4
4/51/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Parnu jk Vaprus: 0.85
Expected Goals
Paide: 1.92
Parnu jk Vaprus
17%
Draw
19%
Paide
64%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 46%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 11.1%
1 — Parnu JK Vaprus
4.10▼
Implied 22%
Edge -4.9%
X
4.00▼
Implied 22%
Edge -3.5%
2 — Paide
1.62
Implied 56%
Edge +8.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Parnu jk Vaprus · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Kuressaare#9
1-1D
23 Oct2026
Nomme Utd#7 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
4-2L
18 Oct2026
Harju jk Laagri#6 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
2-0L
13 Oct2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Kalju#4
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Narva#10
2-2D
20 Sept2026
Flora#3 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
3-2L
16 Sept2026
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
2-0L
12 Sept2026
Levadia#1 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
4-0L
09 Sept2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Harju jk Laagri#6
3-2W
05 Sept2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Nomme Utd#7
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Paide · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Paide#2 vs Kalju#4
0-2L
24 Oct2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Paide#2
0-1W
18 Oct2026
Paide#2 vs Narva#10
2-1W
14 Oct2026
Paide#2 vs Tammeka#5
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Levadia#1 vs Paide#2
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Nomme Utd#7 vs Paide#2
1-3W
16 Sept2026
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
2-0W
13 Sept2026
Paide#2 vs Harju jk Laagri#6
1-2L
09 Sept2026
Tammeka#5 vs Paide#2
0-2W
06 Sept2026
Paide#2 vs Levadia#1
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
16 Sept2026
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
2-0•
04 Jul2026
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
3-1•
06 May2026
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
2-0•
07 Mar2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Paide#2
3-2•
02 Nov2025
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
3-0•
30 Aug2025
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Paide#2
1-0•
18 Jun2025
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Paide#2
1-2•
09 Apr2025
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
1-0•
23 Oct2024
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Paide#2
0-1•
18 Aug2024
Paide#2 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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