Parma vs Genoa

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Parma favourites at 53% (Genoa 25%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.67 to 1.04. Genoa come in with the better recent form (3 wins from 10 to 1), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 43%. Parma won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Parma have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 18 Jan 2026, when it finished 0-0.