Parma vs Cagliari

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Cagliari favourites at 49% (Parma 23%, draw 28%). That rests on expected goals of 1.19 to 0.71, 5 wins in Cagliari's last 10 matches to 2 for Parma and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 43%. Cagliari won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Cagliari are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• They last met on 27 Feb 2026, when it finished 1-1.