Paderborn vs Freiburg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Freiburg favourites at 61% (Paderborn 21%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.29 to 1.28 and 7 wins in Freiburg's last 9 matches to 5 for Paderborn. It put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 66%. Freiburg won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Paderborn are unbeaten in 9 matches.
• Freiburg have won 6 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Nov 2023, when Paderborn won 3-1.