Oliveira Hospital vs Sourense

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Oliveira Hospital favourites at 52% (Sourense 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.79 to 1.20 and 4 wins in Oliveira Hospital's last 10 matches to 0 for Sourense. Sourense lead the head-to-head 2-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 55%. Oliveira Hospital won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Sourense have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 10 May 2015, when it finished 1-1.
• Only 0 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.