Oldham vs Crawley

Match preview

The model makes Oldham favourites at 57% (Crawley 24%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.06 to 1.25, 3 wins in Oldham's last 10 matches to 1 for Crawley and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Oldham about 58% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 66%.

Key facts

• Oldham are 22nd in League Two on 11 points from 11 games; Crawley are 24th on 5.
• They last met on 28 Feb 2026, when Oldham won 2-0.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
• Crawley concede 2.4 goals a game away from home.