Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Nurnberg favourites at 57% (Wolfsburg 25%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.30 to 1.50 and 7 wins in Nurnberg's last 10 matches to 5 for Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg lead the head-to-head 6-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%. It ended 4-4, a draw the model had put at 18%.

Key facts before the match

• Nurnberg have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 4 May 2019, when Wolfsburg won 2-0.