Nurnberg (GER) vs Oviedo (ESP)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Nurnberg (GER) favourites at 70% (Oviedo (ESP) 13%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.19 to 0.78 and 5 wins in Nurnberg (GER)'s last 10 matches to 1 for Oviedo (ESP). It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 43%. Nurnberg (GER) won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Nurnberg (GER) are unbeaten in 9 matches.