Football · Copa del Rey · Spain
Numancia vs Oviedo
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Postponed. Source reports: POSTPONED.Match preview
The model makes Numancia favourites at 41% (Oviedo 35%, draw 24%). Bookmakers give Numancia about 25% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 49%.
Key facts
- Numancia kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 28 Jun 2020, when Numancia won 1-0.
- Oviedo have scored in all of their last 6 away games.
Spain•Copa del Rey
Numancia(3)
L5d
D11d
D18d
D25d
W32d
D40d
W46d
W53d
W64d
W68d
Oviedo(4)
D5d
W11d
W17d
L27d
W32d
L39d
W46d
D53d
W61d
L68d
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 20:00
Postponed. Source reports: POSTPONED.H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
12/615/12
1.201.50
0.601.20
7/108/10
5/105/10
4/106/10
1/103/10
6/104/10
3/102/10
6/107/10
3/106/10
4/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Numancia at homeOviedo away
66
4/63/6
1/61/6
1/62/6
1.501.67
0.831.67
5/66/6
4/63/6
0/61/6
3/64/6
1/63/6
3/62/6
1/60/6
3/65/6
3/64/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Numancia: 1.33
Expected Goals
Oviedo: 1.19
Numancia
41%
Draw
24%
Oviedo
35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.5%
1 — Numancia
3.70▼
Implied 25%
Edge +16.1%
X
3.40▼
Implied 27%
Edge -3.1%
2 — Oviedo
1.92▲
Implied 48%
Edge -13.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Numancia
24 Oct2026
Numancia vs Navalcarnero
2-3L
18 Oct2026
Numancia vs cf Talavera
0-0D
11 Oct2026
Real Avila vs Numancia
1-1D
04 Oct2026
Getafe b vs Numancia
0-0D
27 Sept2026
Numancia vs Guadalajara
1-0W
19 Sept2026
San Sebastian Reyes vs Numancia
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Numancia vs Atl. Madrid c
2-0W
06 Sept2026
Atl. Paso vs Numancia
0-2W
26 Aug2026
Numancia vs Utebo fc
2-1W
22 Aug2026
Numancia vs Zaragoza
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Oviedo · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Almeria#2 vs Oviedo#9
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Ceuta#21 vs Oviedo#9
1-2W
12 Oct2026
Oviedo#9 vs Eibar#3
3-1W
02 Oct2026
Eldense#13 vs Oviedo#9
4-1L
27 Sept2026
Oviedo#9 vs Gijon#8
2-0W
20 Sept2026
Sabadell#10 vs Oviedo#9
3-1L
13 Sept2026
Valladolid#15 vs Oviedo#9
0-3W
06 Sept2026
Oviedo#9 vs Burgos cf#6
0-0D
29 Aug2026
Albacete#22 vs Oviedo#9
0-1W
22 Aug2026
Oviedo#9 vs Leganes#17
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
28 Jun2020
Numancia vs Oviedo#9
1-0•
06 Oct2019
Oviedo#9 vs Numancia
1-1•
19 May2019
Oviedo#9 vs Numancia
1-0•
07 Jan2019
Numancia vs Oviedo#9
2-3•
29 Apr2018
Numancia vs Oviedo#9
3-0•
25 Nov2017
Oviedo#9 vs Numancia
3-1•
06 Sept2017
Oviedo#9 vs Numancia
0-1•
11 Mar2017
Numancia vs Oviedo#9
0-0•
02 Oct2016
Oviedo#9 vs Numancia
2-2•
10 Apr2016
Oviedo#9 vs Numancia
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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