Notts County vs Sheffield Wed

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sheffield Wed favourites at 72% (Notts County 12%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.30 to 0.77, 6 wins in Sheffield Wed's last 10 matches to 3 for Notts County and 6 wins from the last 8 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 52%. Notts County won 2-0, against the model's 72% for Sheffield Wed.

Key facts before the match

• Sheffield Wed are unbeaten in 9 matches.
• They last met on 12 Aug 2014, when Sheffield Wed won 3-0.