Northern Ireland vs Hungary

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Hungary favourites at 49% (Northern Ireland 25%, draw 26%). That rests on expected goals of 1.34 to 0.84 and 3 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 43%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 26%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 29 Mar 2022, when Hungary won 1-0.
• Only 1 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.