Northampton vs Colchester

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Northampton favourites at 50% (Colchester 23%, draw 27%). That rests on expected goals of 1.25 to 0.74, 2 wins in Northampton's last 10 matches to 0 for Colchester and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 38%. Northampton won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Colchester have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 25 Feb 2023, when Northampton won 1-0.