Football · Superettan · Sweden
Norrby vs Varnamo
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Varnamo favourites at 55% (Norrby 23%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.71 to 1.00 and 5 wins in Varnamo's last 10 matches to 2 for Norrby. Norrby lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 57%.
Key facts
- Norrby are 14th in Superettan on 27 points from 28 games; Varnamo are 11th on 32.
- They last met on 17 May 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- Varnamo have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Sweden•Superettan
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-3-2
Last 10 matches
1010
9/1515/12
0.901.50
1.501.20
7/109/10
2/103/10
7/108/10
5/103/10
3/102/10
3/101/10
8/107/10
5/105/10
5/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Norrby at homeVarnamo away
55
1/55/5
1/50/5
3/50/5
1.002.20
2.000.80
4/55/5
1/53/5
0/52/5
4/53/5
3/51/5
1/52/5
1/50/5
3/53/5
3/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Norrby: 1
Expected Goals
Varnamo: 1.71
Norrby
23%
Draw
22%
Varnamo
55%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 57%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.5%
1 — Norrby
2.35
Implied 39%
Edge -15.8%
X
3.60▲
Implied 25%
Edge -3.4%
2 — Varnamo
2.55
Implied 36%
Edge +19.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Norrby · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Norrby#14 vs Norrkoping#1
0-4L
18 Oct2026
Nordic United#9 vs Norrby#14
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Norrby#14 vs Oster#7
2-0W
20 Sept2026
Helsingborg#10 vs Norrby#14
0-0D
14 Sept2026
Norrby#14 vs Varberg#4
1-2L
09 Sept2026
Ljungskile#12 vs Norrby#14
2-1L
05 Sept2026
Norrby#14 vs Landskrona#5
1-3L
31 Aug2026
Sundsvall#16 vs Norrby#14
1-0L
26 Aug2026
Dalstorps vs Norrby#14
0-2W
23 Aug2026
Norrby#14 vs Sandviken#8
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Varnamo · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Varnamo#11 vs Sandviken#8
0-1L
18 Oct2026
Sundsvall#16 vs Varnamo#11
0-1W
11 Oct2026
Varnamo#11 vs Falkenberg#2
1-2L
19 Sept2026
Oddevold#6 vs Varnamo#11
1-2W
15 Sept2026
Varnamo#11 vs Oster#7
1-3L
09 Sept2026
Nordic United#9 vs Varnamo#11
2-4W
05 Sept2026
Varnamo#11 vs Varberg#4
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Ljungskile#12 vs Varnamo#11
0-1W
24 Aug2026
Varnamo#11 vs Landskrona#5
1-1D
19 Aug2026
Vaxjo Norra vs Varnamo#11
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 May2026
Varnamo#11 vs Norrby#14
2-2•
27 Nov2021
Varnamo#11 vs Norrby#14
1-2•
19 Jun2021
Norrby#14 vs Varnamo#11
2-0•
07 Mar2020
Norrby#14 vs Varnamo#11
6-1•
24 Sept2018
Norrby#14 vs Varnamo#11
2-1•
07 May2018
Varnamo#11 vs Norrby#14
0-0•
03 Mar2018
Varnamo#11 vs Norrby#14
1-0•
30 Oct2017
Norrby#14 vs Varnamo#11
2-3•
21 May2017
Varnamo#11 vs Norrby#14
1-2•
18 Sept2010
Varnamo#11 vs Norrby#14
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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