Football · Ligue 1 · France
Nice vs Rennes
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Rennes favourites at 48% (Nice 29%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.52 to 1.11, Rennes sitting 2nd in the table to Nice's 10th and 5 wins in Rennes's last 10 matches to 3 for Nice. Bookmakers give Rennes about 41% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 48%.
Key facts
- Rennes failed to score in 3 of their last 6 away games.
- They last met on 8 Mar 2026, when Rennes won 4-0.
- Rennes concede 2 goals a game away from home.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
8/1017/14
0.801.70
1.001.40
5/107/10
3/106/10
7/107/10
2/103/10
3/103/10
5/103/10
6/107/10
5/107/10
5/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Nice at homeRennes away
46
2/41/6
2/42/6
0/43/6
1.251.17
0.752.00
3/43/6
2/43/6
0/41/6
3/45/6
0/43/6
1/41/6
1/43/6
2/44/6
3/43/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Nice: 1.11
Expected Goals
Rennes: 1.52
Nice
29%
Draw
23%
Rennes
48%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.2%
1 — Nice
2.75▲
Implied 34%
Edge -5.3%
X
3.80
Implied 25%
Edge -1.8%
2 — Rennes
2.30▼
Implied 41%
Edge +7.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Nice · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Brest#13 vs Nice#10
1-2W
18 Oct2026
Lyon#5 vs Nice#10
2-1L
11 Oct2026
Nice#10 vs Strasbourg#16
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Nice#10 vs Lille#3
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Auxerre#12 vs Nice#10
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Nice#10 vs le Mans#15
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Paris fc#6 vs Nice#10
3-0L
22 Aug2026
Nice#10 vs Lorient#9
0-0D
15 Aug2026
Hull#10 vs Nice#10
0-0D
08 Aug2026
Cagliari#10 vs Nice#10
0-0D
Team 2 Form
Rennes · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Rennes#2 vs Strasbourg#16
3-0W
22 Oct2026
Juventus#8 vs Rennes#2
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Paris fc#6 vs Rennes#2
4-3L
15 Oct2026
Rennes#2 vs Ofi Crete#6
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Rennes#2 vs Auxerre#12
4-1W
02 Oct2026
Laval#18 vs Rennes#2
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Lyon#5 vs Rennes#2
4-0L
16 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Rennes#2
0-0D
11 Sept2026
Rennes#2 vs Marseille#8
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Angers#14 vs Rennes#2
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Mar2026
Nice#10 vs Rennes#2
0-4•
26 Oct2025
Rennes#2 vs Nice#10
1-2•
10 May2025
Rennes#2 vs Nice#10
2-0•
03 Jan2025
Nice#10 vs Rennes#2
3-2•
13 Jan2024
Rennes#2 vs Nice#10
2-0•
05 Nov2023
Nice#10 vs Rennes#2
2-0•
06 May2023
Nice#10 vs Rennes#2
2-1•
02 Jan2023
Rennes#2 vs Nice#10
2-1•
02 Apr2022
Nice#10 vs Rennes#2
1-1•
12 Dec2021
Rennes#2 vs Nice#10
1-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Nice
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