Nice vs Lille

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lille favourites at 56% (Nice 23%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.77 to 1.04 and 5 wins in Lille's last 10 matches to 3 for Nice. Nice lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 51%. Nice won 2-1, against the model's 56% for Lille.

Key facts before the match

• Nice have gone 7 matches without a win.
• They last met on 18 Apr 2026, when it finished 0-0.