Newport vs Rochdale

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Rochdale favourites at 61% (Newport 21%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.24 to 1.21 and 4 wins from the last 6 meetings to 1. Newport come in with the better recent form (4 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 59%. Newport won 3-0, against the model's 61% for Rochdale.

Key facts before the match

• Rochdale have gone 7 matches without a win.
• They last met on 7 Jan 2023, when it finished 1-1.