SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · League Two · England

Newport vs Grimsby

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Newport2-1Grimsby
1ST HALF
0-0
2ND HALF
2-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Grimsby favourites at 62% (Newport 19%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.98 to 0.96, 4 wins in Grimsby's last 10 matches to 2 for Newport and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 51%. Newport won 2-1, against the model's 62% for Grimsby.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when it finished 0-0.
  • Only 1 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
England•League Two
W39d
D42d
D49d
L56d
L60d
D63d
L70d
W77d
D84d
L88d
2W · 4D · 4L
vs
L39d
W42d
W49d
D56d
D60d
D63d
D70d
W77d
L84d
W88d
4W · 4D · 2L
Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 17:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Newport2-1Grimsby
1ST HALF
0-0
2ND HALF
2-1
H2H: 2-4-4
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Newport at homeGrimsby away
44
1/40/4
2/43/4
1/41/4
1.751.25
1.751.50
4/43/4
2/42/4
1/40/4
3/43/4
2/43/4
1/41/4
0/41/4
3/43/4
3/43/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Newport: 0.96
Expected Goals
Grimsby: 1.98
Newport
19%
Draw
19%
Grimsby
62%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Newport · # = league position now
22 Sept2026
Swindon#14 vs Newport#16
0-2W
19 Sept2026
Accrington#9 vs Newport#16
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Newport#16 vs Fleetwood#18
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Northampton#19 vs Newport#16
1-0L
01 Sept2026
Salford#1 vs Newport#16
2-1L
29 Aug2026
Newport#16 vs Tranmere#13
2-2D
22 Aug2026
Bristol Rovers#15 vs Newport#16
5-3L
15 Aug2026
Newport#16 vs Rochdale#17
3-0W
08 Aug2026
Afc Wimbledon#4 vs Newport#16
1-1D
04 Aug2026
Newport#16 vs as Roma#3
1-4L
Team 2 Form
Grimsby · # = league position now
22 Sept2026
Notts County#1 vs Grimsby#11
2-1L
19 Sept2026
Grimsby#11 vs Crawley#24
2-0W
12 Sept2026
Grimsby#11 vs Bristol Rovers#15
2-0W
05 Sept2026
Cheltenham#3 vs Grimsby#11
2-2D
01 Sept2026
Accrington#9 vs Grimsby#11
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Grimsby#11 vs Fleetwood#18
2-2D
22 Aug2026
Walsall#6 vs Grimsby#11
0-0D
15 Aug2026
Grimsby#11 vs Exeter#8
1-0W
08 Aug2026
Grimsby#11 vs Blackpool#2
1-3L
04 Aug2026
Grimsby#11 vs Grimsby Borough
3-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
07 Feb2026
Newport#16 vs Grimsby#11
0-0•
16 Aug2025
Grimsby#11 vs Newport#16
2-1•
22 Mar2025
Grimsby#11 vs Newport#16
1-0•
16 Nov2024
Newport#16 vs Grimsby#11
0-0•
06 Apr2024
Grimsby#11 vs Newport#16
1-0•
16 Dec2023
Newport#16 vs Grimsby#11
1-1•
07 Mar2023
Grimsby#11 vs Newport#16
1-1•
03 Sept2022
Newport#16 vs Grimsby#11
0-2•
06 Feb2021
Newport#16 vs Grimsby#11
1-0•
08 Dec2020
Grimsby#11 vs Newport#16
0-2•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.