New York Cosmos vs Boise

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Boise favourites at 66% (New York Cosmos 15%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 0.80 and 5 wins in Boise's last 10 matches to 1 for New York Cosmos. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 52%. Boise won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Boise have won 3 matches in a row.