SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · MLS · USA

New York City vs Toronto FC

Saturday, 01 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
New York City1-1Toronto FC
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
0-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made New York City favourites at 71% (Toronto FC 11%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.00 to 0.60, 5 wins in New York City's last 10 matches to 0 for Toronto FC and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 48%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 18%.

Key facts before the match

  • Toronto FC have gone 10 matches without a win.
  • They last met on 4 Jul 2025, when New York City won 3-1.
  • 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Usa•MLS
W111d
W114d
L174d
L177d
D181d
W184d
W188d
L195d
W198d
L203d
5W · 1D · 4L
vs
L111d
D114d
D120d
L174d
L181d
L189d
L192d
D196d
L203d
D205d
0W · 4D · 6L
Saturday, 01 August 2026 at 02:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
New York City1-1Toronto FC
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
0-0
H2H: 7-1-2
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
New York City at homeToronto fc away
35
2/30/5
0/32/5
1/33/5
2.000.60
1.001.40
2/33/5
2/30/5
2/30/5
2/33/5
1/33/5
1/32/5
1/32/5
2/33/5
1/33/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
New York City: 2
Expected Goals
Toronto fc: 0.6
New York City
71%
Draw
18%
Toronto fc
11%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
New York City · # = league position now
26 Jul2026
New York City#11 vs Chicago Fire#4
3-1W
23 Jul2026
Columbus Crew#7 vs New York City#11
1-2W
24 May2026
Nashville sc#1 vs New York City#11
2-1L
21 May2026
Columbus Crew#7 vs New York City#11
1-0L
17 May2026
New York Red Bulls#10 vs New York City#11
1-1D
14 May2026
Charlotte#5 vs New York City#11
0-1W
10 May2026
New York City#11 vs Columbus Crew#7
3-0W
03 May2026
New York City#11 vs dc United#14
0-2L
30 Apr2026
New York Red Bulls#10 vs New York City#11
1-3W
25 Apr2026
cf Montreal#15 vs New York City#11
1-0L
Team 2 Form
Toronto fc · # = league position now
26 Jul2026
dc United#14 vs Toronto fc#12
2-1L
23 Jul2026
New England Revolution#3 vs Toronto fc#12
0-0D
17 Jul2026
cf Montreal#15 vs Toronto fc#12
0-0D
24 May2026
Chicago Fire#4 vs Toronto fc#12
2-1L
17 May2026
Charlotte#5 vs Toronto fc#12
3-1L
09 May2026
Toronto fc#12 vs Inter Miami#2
2-4L
06 May2026
Toronto fc#12 vs Atl. Ottawa#3
1-3L
02 May2026
Toronto fc#12 vs San Jose Earthquakes#4
1-1D
25 Apr2026
Toronto fc#12 vs Atlanta Utd#13
1-2L
23 Apr2026
Toronto fc#12 vs Philadelphia Union#6
3-3D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
04 Jul2025
New York City#11 vs Toronto fc#12
3-1•
26 Apr2025
Toronto fc#12 vs New York City#11
0-1•
12 May2024
Toronto fc#12 vs New York City#11
2-3•
17 Mar2024
New York City#11 vs Toronto fc#12
2-1•
24 Sept2023
New York City#11 vs Toronto fc#12
3-0•
27 Jul2023
New York City#11 vs Toronto fc#12
5-0•
30 Apr2023
Toronto fc#12 vs New York City#11
1-0•
25 Apr2022
New York City#11 vs Toronto fc#12
5-4•
02 Apr2022
Toronto fc#12 vs New York City#11
2-1•
08 Aug2021
Toronto fc#12 vs New York City#11
2-2•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.