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Football · USL Championship · USA

New Mexico vs Monterey Bay

Sunday, 11 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
New Mexico3-1Monterey Bay
1ST HALF
2-0
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made New Mexico favourites at 65% (Monterey Bay 17%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.13 to 0.97, 3 wins in New Mexico's last 10 matches to 1 for Monterey Bay and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 63%. New Mexico won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 9 Aug 2026, when New Mexico won 5-2.
Usa•USL Championship
W21d
L25d
L29d
D36d
D39d
D44d
W50d
L57d
W60d
D64d
3W · 4D · 3L
vs
W22d
L29d
L36d
D50d
D57d
L64d
D71d
L78d
L81d
L85d
1W · 3D · 6L
Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 04:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
New Mexico3-1Monterey Bay
1ST HALF
2-0
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 5-2-3
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
New Mexico at homeMonterey Bay away
56
2/51/6
1/51/6
2/54/6
1.801.00
1.801.67
5/54/6
4/52/6
0/50/6
5/56/6
3/52/6
0/50/6
0/52/6
5/53/6
5/54/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
New Mexico: 2.13
Expected Goals
Monterey Bay: 0.97
New Mexico
65%
Draw
18%
Monterey Bay
17%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 63%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
New Mexico · # = league position now
05 Oct2026
New Mexico#1 vs Phoenix Rising#8
2-1W
01 Oct2026
fc Tulsa#7 vs New Mexico#1
1-0L
27 Sept2026
New Mexico#1 vs Sacramento Republic#2
2-3L
20 Sept2026
Colorado Springs#5 vs New Mexico#1
0-0D
17 Sept2026
Birmingham#11 vs New Mexico#1
4-4D
12 Sept2026
New Mexico#1 vs Indy Eleven#9
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Las Vegas Lights#11 vs New Mexico#1
1-2W
30 Aug2026
New Mexico#1 vs San Antonio#6
1-2L
27 Aug2026
New Mexico#1 vs Lexington#4
2-1W
23 Aug2026
Loudoun#10 vs New Mexico#1
0-0D
Team 2 Form
Monterey Bay · # = league position now
04 Oct2026
Orange County sc#9 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-2W
27 Sept2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs Lexington#4
2-3L
20 Sept2026
Charleston#2 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-0L
06 Sept2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs Phoenix Rising#8
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs Sacramento Republic#2
1-1D
23 Aug2026
Rhode Island#7 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-1L
16 Aug2026
Oakland Roots#10 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-1D
09 Aug2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
2-5L
06 Aug2026
el Paso#3 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-0L
02 Aug2026
Lexington#4 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
09 Aug2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
2-5•
21 Sept2025
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
1-1•
24 Apr2025
New Mexico#1 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-0•
18 Aug2024
New Mexico#1 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-2•
03 Jun2024
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
1-0•
14 May2023
New Mexico#1 vs Monterey Bay#12
2-1•
09 Apr2023
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
4-2•
21 Aug2022
New Mexico#1 vs Monterey Bay#12
2-0•
03 Jul2022
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
1-1•
14 Jul2019
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Monterey Bay
No upcoming fixtures listed.

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