New Mexico vs Lexington

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made New Mexico favourites at 56% (Lexington 23%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.73 to 0.99 and 7 wins in New Mexico's last 10 matches to 5 for Lexington. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 60%. New Mexico won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• New Mexico are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 16 Jul 2026, when New Mexico won 4-1.