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Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

Netherlands vs Germany

Thursday, 24 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Netherlands1-1Germany
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
1-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Germany favourites at 46% (Netherlands 34%, draw 20%). That rests on 8 wins in Germany's last 10 matches to 5 for Netherlands and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 74%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

  • Netherlands are unbeaten in 5 matches.
  • They last met on 14 Oct 2024, when Germany won 1-0.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
D123d
W127d
W133d
D139d
W145d
L150d
D214d
W218d
W348d
D351d
5W · 4D · 1L
vs
D124d
L128d
W133d
W139d
W147d
W153d
W215d
W218d
W348d
W351d
8W · 1D · 1L
Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Netherlands1-1Germany
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
1-0
H2H: 2-4-4
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Netherlands at homeGermany away
84
4/83/4
3/80/4
1/81/4
2.132.25
1.001.50
7/84/4
5/83/4
2/81/4
7/83/4
1/82/4
1/81/4
1/80/4
5/83/4
6/83/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Netherlands: 1.63
Expected Goals
Germany: 1.93
Netherlands
34%
Draw
20%
Germany
46%
Over 2.5: 69%
BTTS: 74%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Netherlands · # = league position now
30 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Morocco#2
1-1D
26 Jun2026
Tunisia#4 vs Netherlands#1
1-3W
20 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Sweden#3
5-1W
14 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Japan#2
2-2D
08 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Uzbekistan#4
2-1W
03 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Algeria#3
0-1L
31 Mar2026
Netherlands#1 vs Ecuador#3
1-1D
27 Mar2026
Netherlands#1 vs Norway#4
2-1W
17 Nov2025
Netherlands#1 vs Lithuania
4-0W
14 Nov2025
Poland#4 vs Netherlands#1
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Germany · # = league position now
29 Jun2026
Germany#3 vs Paraguay#3
1-1D
25 Jun2026
Ecuador#3 vs Germany#3
2-1L
20 Jun2026
Germany#3 vs Ivory Coast#2
2-1W
14 Jun2026
Germany#3 vs Curacao#4
7-1W
06 Jun2026
Usa#1 vs Germany#3
1-2W
31 May2026
Germany#3 vs Finland
4-0W
30 Mar2026
Germany#3 vs Ghana#3
2-1W
27 Mar2026
Switzerland#1 vs Germany#3
3-4W
17 Nov2025
Germany#3 vs Slovakia#3
6-0W
14 Nov2025
Luxembourg vs Germany#3
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Oct2024
Germany#3 vs Netherlands#1
1-0•
10 Sept2024
Netherlands#1 vs Germany#3
2-2•
26 Mar2024
Germany#3 vs Netherlands#1
2-1•
29 Mar2022
Netherlands#1 vs Germany#3
1-1•
06 Sept2019
Germany#3 vs Netherlands#1
2-4•
24 Mar2019
Netherlands#1 vs Germany#3
2-3•
19 Nov2018
Germany#3 vs Netherlands#1
2-2•
13 Oct2018
Netherlands#1 vs Germany#3
3-0•
14 Nov2012
Netherlands#1 vs Germany#3
0-0•
13 Jun2012
Netherlands#1 vs Germany#3
1-2•

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