Neftci Baku vs Safa Baku

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Neftci Baku favourites at 59% (Safa Baku 18%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.55 to 0.70 and 4 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 27%. Neftci Baku won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 24 May 2005, when Neftci Baku won 3-0.