Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Neftchi Fargona favourites at 89% (Xorazm Urganch 2%, draw 9%). That rests on expected goals of 2.56 to 0.18, 7 wins in Neftchi Fargona's last 10 matches to 2 for Xorazm Urganch and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 23%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 9%.

Key facts before the match

• Xorazm Urganch have gone 7 matches without a win.
• Neftchi Fargona have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 24 Apr 2026, when Neftchi Fargona won 2-0.