Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Neftchi Fargona favourites at 83% (Qizilqum 3%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.08 to 0.21, 6 wins in Neftchi Fargona's last 10 matches to 3 for Qizilqum and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 35%. Neftchi Fargona won 5-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 4 Apr 2026, when Neftchi Fargona won 4-0.