Football · Cyprus League · Cyprus
Nea Salamis vs Pafos
Monday, 26 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Pafos favourites at 60% (Nea Salamis 21%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.06 to 1.14, Pafos sitting 5th in the table to Nea Salamis's 11th and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Pafos about 58% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 49%.
Key facts
- Nea Salamis scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Pafos kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 16 Dec 2024, when Pafos won 2-0.
- Pafos have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Cyprus•Cyprus League
vs
Monday, 26 October 2026 at 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-1-7
Last 10 matches
1010
22/1814/9
2.201.40
1.800.90
10/107/10
6/103/10
7/105/10
6/103/10
3/105/10
0/103/10
10/106/10
10/104/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Nea Salamis at homePafos away
45
3/44/5
0/40/5
1/41/5
2.751.80
1.250.80
4/45/5
3/42/5
3/42/5
2/42/5
1/41/5
2/43/5
0/40/5
4/43/5
2/42/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Nea Salamis: 1.14
Expected Goals
Pafos: 2.06
Nea Salamis
21%
Draw
19%
Pafos
60%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.3%
1 — Nea Salamis
5.00▼
Implied 18%
Edge +2.7%
X
3.90▼
Implied 23%
Edge -4.5%
2 — Pafos
1.57▲
Implied 58%
Edge +1.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Nea Salamis · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Nea Salamis#11 vs Apea Akrotiriou
4-0W
17 Oct2026
Apollon#4 vs Nea Salamis#11
4-2L
10 Oct2026
Apoel#7 vs Nea Salamis#11
2-1L
03 Oct2026
Ermis vs Nea Salamis#11
0-3W
27 Sept2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Nea Salamis#11
2-1L
19 Sept2026
Nea Salamis#11 vs Anorthosis#13
3-0W
11 Sept2026
Ael Limassol#1 vs Nea Salamis#11
2-1L
06 Sept2026
Nea Salamis#11 vs Aek Larnaca#2
1-4L
28 Aug2026
Ol. Nicosia#10 vs Nea Salamis#11
3-3D
22 Aug2026
Nea Salamis#11 vs Apollon#4
3-1W
Team 2 Form
Pafos · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Pafos#5 vs Riga fc#21
1-1D
19 Oct2026
Pafos#5 vs Apoel#7
0-0D
15 Oct2026
Atalanta#11 vs Pafos#5
3-1L
11 Oct2026
Anorthosis#13 vs Pafos#5
1-3W
18 Sept2026
Pafos#5 vs Ael Limassol#1
0-2L
13 Sept2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Pafos#5
0-1W
07 Sept2026
Pafos#5 vs Ol. Nicosia#10
0-0D
03 Sept2026
Omonia#3 vs Pafos#5
0-1W
30 Aug2026
Karmiotissa#14 vs Pafos#5
0-3W
27 Aug2026
Pafos#5 vs Dinamo City
4-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
16 Dec2024
Nea Salamis#11 vs Pafos#5
0-2•
18 Sept2024
Pafos#5 vs Nea Salamis#11
4-0•
28 Feb2024
Nea Salamis#11 vs Pafos#5
0-5•
19 Feb2024
Pafos#5 vs Nea Salamis#11
0-0•
03 Dec2023
Nea Salamis#11 vs Pafos#5
0-2•
03 Feb2023
Pafos#5 vs Nea Salamis#11
1-2•
29 Oct2022
Nea Salamis#11 vs Pafos#5
0-2•
16 May2021
Nea Salamis#11 vs Pafos#5
1-2•
20 Mar2021
Pafos#5 vs Nea Salamis#11
3-0•
11 Jan2021
Nea Salamis#11 vs Pafos#5
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Nea Salamis
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