Naval 1893 vs Felgueiras

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Naval 1893 favourites at 52% (Felgueiras 21%, draw 27%). That rests on expected goals of 1.27 to 0.69 and 6 wins in Naval 1893's last 10 matches to 1 for Felgueiras. It put over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams scoring at 41%. Felgueiras won 2-0, against the model's 52% for Naval 1893.