Football · Serie B · Brazil
Nautico vs Avai
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Nautico favourites at 38% (Avai 37%, draw 25%). Avai lead the head-to-head 7-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Nautico about 48% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 46%.
Key facts
- Nautico have gone 5 matches without a win.
- Nautico are 16th in Serie B on 43 points from 35 games; Avai are 17th on 37.
- They last met on 12 Jul 2026, when Avai won 2-0.
Brazil•Serie B
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 01:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-1-7
Last 10 matches
1010
9/186/14
0.900.60
1.801.40
5/105/10
2/101/10
8/108/10
6/104/10
2/102/10
5/105/10
8/106/10
5/104/10
4/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Nautico at homeAvai away
55
2/51/5
1/50/5
2/54/5
1.400.60
1.601.80
3/53/5
2/50/5
2/50/5
4/54/5
3/53/5
1/51/5
2/52/5
2/53/5
2/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Nautico: 1.22
Expected Goals
Avai: 1.19
Nautico
38%
Draw
25%
Avai
37%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 46%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.0%
1 — Nautico
1.92▲
Implied 48%
Edge -10.2%
X
3.30
Implied 28%
Edge -3.1%
2 — Avai
3.90
Implied 24%
Edge +13.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Nautico · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Juventude#2 vs Nautico#16
4-0L
20 Oct2026
Goias#10 vs Nautico#16
0-0D
11 Oct2026
Nautico#16 vs Vila Nova fc#3
0-2L
09 Oct2026
Nautico#16 vs Novorizontino#1
0-2L
03 Oct2026
Fortaleza#4 vs Nautico#16
1-1D
26 Sept2026
Nautico#16 vs Sport Recife#7
3-1W
22 Sept2026
Cuiaba#13 vs Nautico#16
3-0L
16 Sept2026
Nautico#16 vs Operario-pr#9
3-3D
10 Sept2026
America mg#19 vs Nautico#16
2-1L
04 Sept2026
Nautico#16 vs Botafogo sp#12
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Avai · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Botafogo sp#12
0-2L
18 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Athletic Club#14
0-0D
12 Oct2026
Cuiaba#13 vs Avai#17
0-1W
08 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Londrina#18
2-1W
03 Oct2026
Avai#17 vs Ceara#15
0-1L
27 Sept2026
Criciuma#5 vs Avai#17
3-0L
20 Sept2026
Goias#10 vs Avai#17
2-1L
15 Sept2026
Avai#17 vs Vila Nova fc#3
1-1D
10 Sept2026
Fortaleza#4 vs Avai#17
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Novorizontino#1 vs Avai#17
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
12 Jul2026
Avai#17 vs Nautico#16
2-0•
22 Nov2021
Nautico#16 vs Avai#17
1-2•
15 Aug2021
Avai#17 vs Nautico#16
2-0•
07 Nov2020
Nautico#16 vs Avai#17
2-2•
09 Aug2020
Avai#17 vs Nautico#16
3-1•
12 Nov2016
Avai#17 vs Nautico#16
3-0•
23 Jul2016
Nautico#16 vs Avai#17
3-1•
04 Oct2014
Avai#17 vs Nautico#16
0-2•
28 May2014
Nautico#16 vs Avai#17
0-1•
05 Dec2009
Nautico#16 vs Avai#17
0-1•
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