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Football · MLS · USA

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls

Monday, 02 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Nashville SC favourites at 80% (New York Red Bulls 5%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.08 to 0.31 and Nashville SC sitting 1st in the table to New York Red Bulls's 10th. New York Red Bulls lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Nashville SC about 68% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 25%.

Key facts

  • Nashville SC are unbeaten in 8 matches.
  • Nashville SC kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 20 Aug 2026, when Nashville SC won 1-0.
  • Only 1 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Usa•MLS
Rank 1 · 71 pts
D0d
W5d
D11d
W14d
W18d
W32d
W39d
D46d
L49d
D54d
5W · 4D · 1L
vs
Rank 10 · 39 pts
L0d
W4d
L11d
L14d
W18d
L28d
W40d
W46d
L49d
D53d
4W · 1D · 5L
Monday, 02 November 2026 at 00:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-4-4
Last 10 matches
1010
19/611/13
1.901.10
0.601.30
8/106/10
6/103/10
4/106/10
2/105/10
6/104/10
2/104/10
8/107/10
5/104/10
4/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Nashville sc at homeNew York Red Bulls away
46
3/42/6
1/41/6
0/43/6
2.250.83
0.001.17
3/44/6
3/41/6
2/40/6
0/43/6
0/43/6
4/43/6
1/42/6
2/42/6
0/42/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Nashville sc: 2.08
Expected Goals
New York Red Bulls: 0.31
Nashville sc
80%
Draw
15%
New York Red Bulls
5%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 25%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.8%
1 — Nashville SC
1.37▲
Implied 68%
Edge +12.3%
X
5.10▼
Implied 18%
Edge -3.2%
2 — New York Red Bulls
6.60▼
Implied 14%
Edge -9.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Nashville sc · # = league position now
29 Oct2026
Nashville sc#1 vs Philadelphia Union#6
0-0D
24 Oct2026
cf Montreal#15 vs Nashville sc#1
0-2W
18 Oct2026
San Jose Earthquakes#5 vs Nashville sc#1
1-1D
15 Oct2026
Nashville sc#1 vs Sporting Kansas City#15
4-0W
11 Oct2026
Austin fc#14 vs Nashville sc#1
1-4W
27 Sept2026
Nashville sc#1 vs Toronto fc#11
2-0W
20 Sept2026
Nashville sc#1 vs Chicago Fire#4
3-0W
13 Sept2026
Inter Miami#3 vs Nashville sc#1
2-2D
10 Sept2026
Toronto fc#11 vs Nashville sc#1
2-1L
05 Sept2026
New York City#12 vs Nashville sc#1
0-0D
Team 2 Form
New York Red Bulls · # = league position now
29 Oct2026
New England Revolution#2 vs New York Red Bulls#10
3-2L
25 Oct2026
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Inter Miami#3
2-0W
18 Oct2026
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Toronto fc#11
0-2L
15 Oct2026
dc United#13 vs New York Red Bulls#10
2-1L
11 Oct2026
New York Red Bulls#10 vs San Diego fc#13
4-1W
01 Oct2026
New York Red Bulls#10 vs St. Louis City#3
0-3L
19 Sept2026
New York City#12 vs New York Red Bulls#10
0-1W
13 Sept2026
Columbus Crew#9 vs New York Red Bulls#10
0-1W
10 Sept2026
Los Angeles fc#6 vs New York Red Bulls#10
2-0L
06 Sept2026
Seattle Sounders#8 vs New York Red Bulls#10
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
20 Aug2026
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Nashville sc#1
0-1•
15 May2025
Nashville sc#1 vs New York Red Bulls#10
2-1•
02 Mar2025
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Nashville sc#1
2-0•
16 Jun2024
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Nashville sc#1
0-0•
26 Feb2024
Nashville sc#1 vs New York Red Bulls#10
0-0•
22 Oct2023
Nashville sc#1 vs New York Red Bulls#10
0-1•
05 Mar2023
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Nashville sc#1
0-0•
21 Jan2023
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Nashville sc#1
1-0•
07 Nov2021
Nashville sc#1 vs New York Red Bulls#10
1-1•
19 Jun2021
New York Red Bulls#10 vs Nashville sc#1
2-0•

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