Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Pakhtakor favourites at 60% (Nasaf Qarshi 15%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.42 to 0.55 and 5 wins in Pakhtakor's last 10 matches to 3 for Nasaf Qarshi. Nasaf Qarshi lead the head-to-head 3-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 46%. Pakhtakor won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Pakhtakor are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• Nasaf Qarshi are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• They last met on 28 Apr 2026, when it finished 2-2.