Nacional vs Estrela

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Estrela favourites at 44% (Nacional 32%, draw 24%). That rests on 4 wins in Estrela's last 10 matches to 2 for Nacional and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 44%. Estrela won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Estrela are unbeaten in 6 matches.
• They last met on 23 Jul 2026, when Estrela won 2-0.
• Only 1 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.