Morton vs Dunfermline

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Dunfermline favourites at 84% (Morton 2%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 0.10 and 5 wins in Dunfermline's last 10 matches to 0 for Morton. It put over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 23%. Dunfermline won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Morton have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 4 Apr 2026, when Dunfermline won 3-1.