Moreirense vs Maritimo

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Maritimo favourites at 56% (Moreirense 23%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.73 to 1.02 and 4 wins in Maritimo's last 10 matches to 2 for Moreirense. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 48%. Moreirense won 3-1, against the model's 56% for Maritimo.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 6 Mar 2022, when Maritimo won 1-0.