Moreirense (POR) vs Amarante (POR)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Amarante (POR) favourites at 50% (Moreirense (POR) 27%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.51 to 1.04 and 5 wins in Amarante (POR)'s last 10 matches to 2 for Moreirense (POR). It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 56%. Moreirense (POR) won 2-0, against the model's 50% for Amarante (POR).

Key facts before the match

• Moreirense (POR) have gone 5 matches without a win.