Football · Serie A · Italy
Monza vs Napoli
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Napoli favourites at 48% (Monza 32%, draw 20%). That rests on Napoli sitting 10th in the table to Monza's 14th and 4 wins from the last 7 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give Napoli about 50% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Key facts
- Monza scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 19 Apr 2025, when Napoli won 1-0.
Italy•Serie A
vs
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
19/1915/14
1.901.50
1.901.40
10/108/10
7/104/10
8/107/10
6/104/10
2/103/10
0/102/10
9/107/10
8/105/10
8/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Monza at homeNapoli away
45
2/41/5
0/41/5
2/43/5
2.501.20
1.751.60
4/44/5
4/42/5
1/40/5
3/44/5
2/42/5
1/41/5
0/41/5
4/42/5
3/43/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Monza: 1.56
Expected Goals
Napoli: 1.93
Monza
32%
Draw
20%
Napoli
48%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.1%
1 — Monza
3.90▼
Implied 24%
Edge +7.8%
X
3.70▼
Implied 25%
Edge -5.5%
2 — Napoli
1.87▲
Implied 50%
Edge -2.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Monza · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Torino#8 vs Monza#14
3-2L
19 Oct2026
Monza#14 vs Cagliari#7
4-0W
11 Oct2026
Lazio#2 vs Monza#14
3-1L
03 Oct2026
Brest#11 vs Monza#14
2-2D
26 Sept2026
Monza#14 vs Cremonese#17
2-3L
18 Sept2026
Monza#14 vs Sassuolo#13
2-1W
13 Sept2026
Lecce#12 vs Monza#14
3-2L
06 Sept2026
Parma#19 vs Monza#14
1-1D
01 Sept2026
Torino#8 vs Monza#14
0-1W
29 Aug2026
Monza#14 vs Udinese#16
2-3L
Team 2 Form
Napoli · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Napoli#10 vs Bodo/glimt#1
4-3W
17 Oct2026
Venezia#20 vs Napoli#10
1-0L
13 Oct2026
Villarreal#12 vs Napoli#10
3-1L
10 Oct2026
Napoli#10 vs Frosinone#6
3-0W
20 Sept2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Napoli#10
1-1D
13 Sept2026
Napoli#10 vs Bologna#15
1-0W
09 Sept2026
Napoli#10 vs Arsenal#2
0-1L
05 Sept2026
Inter#1 vs Napoli#10
3-2L
30 Aug2026
Napoli#10 vs Como#5
1-2L
22 Aug2026
Genoa#17 vs Napoli#10
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
19 Apr2025
Monza#14 vs Napoli#10
0-1•
29 Sept2024
Napoli#10 vs Monza#14
2-0•
07 Apr2024
Monza#14 vs Napoli#10
2-4•
29 Dec2023
Napoli#10 vs Monza#14
0-0•
14 May2023
Monza#14 vs Napoli#10
2-0•
21 Aug2022
Napoli#10 vs Monza#14
4-0•
30 Jan2000
Napoli#10 vs Monza#14
2-2•
05 Sept2099
Monza#14 vs Napoli#10
0-0•
30 May2099
Napoli#10 vs Monza#14
1-2•
10 Jan2099
Monza#14 vs Napoli#10
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Monza
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