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Football · USL Championship · USA

Monterey Bay vs Lexington

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Monterey Bay2-3Lexington
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-2

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Lexington favourites at 71% (Monterey Bay 13%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.26 to 0.83 and 5 wins in Lexington's last 10 matches to 0 for Monterey Bay. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 58%. Lexington won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Monterey Bay have gone 10 matches without a win.
  • They last met on 2 Aug 2026, when Lexington won 3-2.
  • 3 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.
Usa•USL Championship
L41d
D55d
D62d
L69d
D76d
L83d
L86d
L90d
L97d
L104d
0W · 3D · 7L
vs
W41d
W48d
L55d
L62d
L65d
W69d
L76d
W83d
W90d
D97d
5W · 1D · 4L
Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 05:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Monterey Bay2-3Lexington
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-2
H2H: 1-1-2
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Monterey Bay at homeLexington away
45
0/41/5
2/41/5
2/43/5
1.251.40
2.251.40
4/43/5
1/42/5
0/41/5
4/44/5
2/42/5
0/41/5
0/42/5
2/43/5
4/43/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Monterey Bay: 0.83
Expected Goals
Lexington: 2.26
Monterey Bay
13%
Draw
16%
Lexington
71%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Monterey Bay · # = league position now
20 Sept2026
Charleston#2 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-0L
06 Sept2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs Phoenix Rising#8
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs Sacramento Republic#2
1-1D
23 Aug2026
Rhode Island#7 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-1L
16 Aug2026
Oakland Roots#10 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-1D
09 Aug2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs New Mexico#1
2-5L
06 Aug2026
el Paso#3 vs Monterey Bay#12
1-0L
02 Aug2026
Lexington#4 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-2L
26 Jul2026
Monterey Bay#12 vs Orange County sc#9
1-2L
19 Jul2026
Phoenix Rising#8 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-2L
Team 2 Form
Lexington · # = league position now
20 Sept2026
Lexington#4 vs Orange County sc#9
6-0W
13 Sept2026
Oakland Roots#10 vs Lexington#4
1-4W
06 Sept2026
Sporting Jax#13 vs Lexington#4
3-2L
30 Aug2026
Lexington#4 vs Colorado Springs#5
0-1L
27 Aug2026
New Mexico#1 vs Lexington#4
2-1L
23 Aug2026
Lexington#4 vs Las Vegas Lights#11
2-0W
16 Aug2026
Sacramento Republic#2 vs Lexington#4
1-0L
09 Aug2026
Lexington#4 vs Phoenix Rising#8
1-0W
02 Aug2026
Lexington#4 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-2W
26 Jul2026
fc Tulsa#7 vs Lexington#4
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
02 Aug2026
Lexington#4 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-2•
09 May2026
Lexington#4 vs Monterey Bay#12
3-1•
08 Jun2025
Monterey Bay#12 vs Lexington#4
2-1•
20 Apr2025
Lexington#4 vs Monterey Bay#12
0-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Monterey Bay
No upcoming fixtures listed.

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